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Singapore hikes currency policy as energy shock fuels inflation

Financial Times Markets •
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Singapore’s Monetary Authority tightened policy on Tuesday, the first adjustment in four years, by accelerating the Singapore dollar’s appreciation band. The move follows a sharp rise in oil and gas prices after the Middle‑East war disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, a route that carries roughly a quarter of global seaborne energy supplies.

MAS warned that the import‑dependent city‑state remains exposed to prolonged price pressure, raising its inflation outlook from a 1‑2 % band to 1.5‑2.5 %. Concurrently, the Ministry of Trade and Industry reported a 0.3 % quarterly GDP contraction and a 4.9 % plunge in manufacturing output, underscoring the dual hit on growth and price stability.

Because MAS steers policy through exchange‑rate adjustments rather than interest rates, the stronger Singapore dollar is intended to offset imported inflation while cushioning export‑driven firms. Investors will see tighter currency dynamics reflected in pricing power and margin forecasts across trade‑linked sectors, making the policy shift a tangible factor in regional equity valuations.

Asia’s broader markets have already felt the ripple, with neighboring economies grappling with similar energy‑price shocks and tighter monetary stances. The Singapore move signals that policymakers are willing to prioritize price stability over short‑term growth, a stance that could prompt other export‑oriented nations to reassess their own currency strategies.