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Oil Surge, War Fears Send US Futures Lower

Bloomberg Markets •
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US equity futures dropped Friday as surging oil prices and Middle East conflict fears rattled traders. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.7% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.9% in early trading, with crude oil futures topping $86 a barrel. The sell-off intensified after Qatar's energy minister warned that Persian Gulf countries might halt energy exports if the conflict continues, potentially pushing oil prices to $150 a barrel.

Goldman Sachs' Daan Struyven told Bloomberg TV that the current supply shock exceeds the Russian energy crisis, with oil potentially reaching $100 a barrel. He noted markets may start pricing in demand destruction from rising energy costs. The conflict has escalated with Israel and Iran trading missile fire overnight, including Iranian strikes targeting multiple Gulf states. Multiple blasts were reported in Bahrain as tensions spread.

JonesTrading's Michael O'Rourke described the market reaction as a "mechanical movement" driven by rising crude prices, with active managers retreating amid geopolitical uncertainty. Traders now await the US jobs report, expected to show payroll growth slowed in February. The combination of energy supply fears, inflation concerns, and potential earnings impacts has created a challenging environment for investors navigating this volatile period.