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Nuveen Warns of Market Volatility Amid Trade and Policy Uncertainty

Bloomberg Markets •
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Nuveen's global investment strategist Laura Cooper highlights growing hesitation among investors to assume dollar exposure due to escalating trade tensions and policy shifts. Speaking on Bloomberg Television, she notes that while Treasuries retain their role as safe haven assets during acute risk-off episodes, market participants are increasingly cautious. This divergence reflects broader concerns about geopolitical instability and central bank interventions, with Cooper emphasizing that volatility could persist until clarity emerges on trade agreements and monetary policy trajectories.

The strategist underscores that hedging strategies are gaining traction as institutions seek to mitigate downside risks. Cooper attributes this trend to heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S.-China trade negotiations and divergent fiscal policies across major economies. She warns that fragmented policy responses could exacerbate market fragmentation, urging investors to prioritize liquidity and defensive positions. The comments align with broader market signals, including recent flows into gold and short-duration bonds, suggesting a cautious reallocation of capital.

Cooper’s remarks come as global equity markets remain elevated despite mixed economic data, creating a paradoxical environment where risk appetite appears muted. She critiques the disconnect between asset valuations and underlying fundamentals, arguing that looming policy shifts—particularly potential interest rate adjustments—could trigger a re-evaluation of growth stocks. The strategist specifically highlights technology and consumer discretionary sectors as vulnerable to profit-taking if inflation moderation falters.

With central banks maintaining divergent stances on rate paths, Cooper advises a wait-and-see approach. She notes that while policy uncertainty remains elevated, the market’s ability to price in risks has improved compared to 2018. However, she stresses that abrupt shifts in trade or monetary policy could still disrupt pricing models, particularly for dollar-denominated assets. Investors, she concludes, must balance exposure to safe haven assets with opportunities in undervalued segments of the equity market.

Key Entities: Nuveen, Laura Cooper, Treasuries, U.S.-China trade negotiations, global equity markets

Expert FAQ: Why are investors avoiding dollar exposure?

Answer: Cooper explains that heightened trade tensions and policy uncertainty are driving caution, as dollar strength could amplify losses in emerging markets and exporters. The strategist notes that while Treasuries remain a refuge, their appeal is tempered by concerns about prolonged low yields and potential inflation resurgence.

Primary Keyword: Nuveen market strategy

Secondary Keywords: hedging strategies, safe haven assets, policy uncertainty, global equity markets, trade tensions

Content Type: news