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HSBC bets on Hungarian stocks after opposition landslide

Bloomberg Markets •
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HSBC’s equity strategists have shifted to a bullish stance on Hungarian equities after a recent parliamentary election produced a landslide opposition victory. The unexpected result, they argue, could compress country‑specific risk premiums and set the stage for a broad re‑rating of the market. Investors who have been wary of political risk may now reconsider exposure to Budapest‑listed firms.

The vote overturns a longstanding governing coalition, removing a key source of policy uncertainty that has kept foreign capital at bay. HSBC expects the new alignment to improve fiscal credibility and ease Euro‑area financing, factors that could lift valuation multiples across banking and consumer‑goods firms. A tighter risk premium would make Hungarian stocks more attractive than peers in Central Europe.

Market participants have already begun adjusting portfolios, with several European funds increasing their weightings in Budapest‑based indices. Should the risk premium narrow as HSBC predicts, we could see a cascade of inflows that push the Budapest Stock Exchange’s total market cap higher, delivering returns that outpace regional benchmarks. The firm’s bullish call therefore hinges on the new government’s ability to deliver stable, pro‑business policies.