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NFL Week 3 Best Bets: Chiefs vs Dolphins & More

ESPN General •
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Ben Solak, Seth Walder, and Matt Bowen share their best bets for NFL Week 3, focusing on value across spreads, money lines, totals, and defensive props. Each analyst brings a unique perspective: Solak on player evaluation and X's and O's, Walder on statistical models, and Bowen on tape study and matchup analysis. They track results with flat one-unit wagers throughout the season.

Bowen's Game of the Week is the Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins (-10.5, 46.5) at Hard Rock Stadium. Despite avoiding double-digit spreads, Bowen likes the Chiefs due to scheme advantages. Kenneth Walker III has been a dual-threat, rushing for 117+ yards in both games, while the Dolphins' defense allows 112.5 rushing yards per game. Patrick Mahomes, Rashee Rice, and Travis Kelce should exploit Miami's weak secondary, which gives up 8.6 YPA and plays man coverage 58.9% of the time.

Miami struggles offensively, scoring 13 or fewer points in both games. De'Von Achane has been limited, and Malik Willis's accuracy remains inconsistent (58% completion). While young receivers like Malik Washington show promise, the Dolphins lack a proven No. 1 to handle critical situations.