Vegas Golden Knights trail Carolina Hurricanes in the 2026 Stanley Cup Final, holding a 2‑1 series lead before Carolina’s two‑goal swings. The Hurricanes now sit 3‑2 in the best‑of‑seven, with the decisive Game 6 slated for 8 p.m. ET at the T‑Mobile Center. Fans expect a tight finish.

SportsLine’s Projection Model ran 10,000 simulations and returns a $115 favorite edge to Carolina. The model also favors an over on the 5.5‑goal total, projecting 6.3 goals. Key scorers in the simulations are Seth Jarvis and Sebastian Aho for Hurricanes, and Mark Stone and Pavel Dorofeyev for Knights.

With the series tied, the game’s outcome will decide the first Cup for Carolina since 2006 and cement Vegas’s legacy as a modern dynasty. An overline of 5.5 reflects the teams’ high‑scoring playoff runs, matching the first four games that all exceeded the line. Stakes are high and the puck is poised to fly.

SportsLine’s track record of a +568 return on top picks gives bettors confidence, but the Knights still hold a modest -105 line. The final game will test depth, goaltending, and clutch performance. Whoever wins will secure a championship berth, ending the season on a historic note.