Carolina can capture their first Stanley Cup since 2006 with a Game 6 victory over Vegas on Sunday at 8 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Arena. The Hurricanes lead the series 3-2 after winning Games 4 and 5, erasing an early 2-1 deficit. Sports Line's Projection Model favors Carolina at -115 on the money line.

The model simulates every NHL matchup 10,000 times and enters this final with a +568 return on top-rated picks. Carolina's money line sits at -115 while Vegas is -105, with an over/under of 5.5 goals. Historical trends support the Over call—four of the first five games hit this total, including six goals in Game 5 when the line was 6.5.

According to simulation results, Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis offer the best scoring chances for Carolina, while Mark Stone and Pavel Dorofeyev lead Vegas projections. The model forecasts 6.2 total goals, predicting the Over will cash with room to spare. DraftKings and other sportsbooks are offering lines on this decisive championship matchup.

Carolina's chance to end their 18-year championship drought makes this a defining moment for the franchise. The Hurricanes' recent two-goal victories have shifted momentum decisively in their favor heading into what could be the final game of the 2026 season.