The Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres face off in Game 7 of their 2026 Stanley Cup playoff second-round series Monday night at KeyBank Center. Buffalo's 8-3 victory in Game 6 evened the series after Montreal jumped ahead 2-1. The winner advances to face the Carolina Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference finals. The Sabres enter as -118 favorites with a 5.5-goal total.

SportsLine's Projection Model simulated this matchup 10,000 times and projects the Over on total goals. The model favors Buffalo's recent scoring form, with the Sabres ranking fifth in regular season offense at 3.42 goals per game. Montreal's Cole Caufield projects for 0.56 goals and 0.46 assists, while Buffalo's Tage Thompson posts similar numbers at 0.54 goals and 0.53 assists.

Goaltending projections show Montreal's Jakub Dobes making 23.3 saves while allowing 3.22 goals. Buffalo's Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is projected for 19.3 saves and 3.03 goals against. The model's combined goal projection of 6.5 makes the Over the recommended play in this decisive Game 7.