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Public Markets

Last updated: November 5, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Midterm Fallout and U.S. Markets

U.S. stocks surged wsj.com after Democrats captured both chambers of Congress, with a divided government seen as limiting new policy shocks. The Financial Times reported the rally was the best day since August ft.com, with hyperscalers climbing while chipmakers fell. Treasury yields dropped to eight-week lows wsj.com as investors priced in relief for bond supply, and traders at major desks urged clients to add equity exposure bloomberg.com. Strategists cautioned that the gains could be the weakest bloomberg.com of post-midterm rallies, and Wall Street is already girding for a 2027 debt-ceiling fight bloomberg.com.

Political Winners and Losers

The Trump-aligned sell-off hit several individual names. Trump Media's shares fell to a record low nytimes.com, while Tesla and SpaceX stock dropped premarket wsj.com as the result left Elon Musk's political spending looking costly. Defense shares in the U.S. and Europe slid bloomberg.com, while alcohol stocks jumped bloomberg.com on expectations of a friendlier regulatory climate. Vice President JD Vance blamed the Iran war nytimes.com for Republican losses, and Trump himself said he was partly to blame wsj.com. Financial firms now face renewed scrutiny bloomberg.com from a Democratic-led Congress.

Oil, Gold and Commodities

Crude prices tumbled ft.com below $100 a barrel on hopes of a diplomatic path to ending the Iran conflict, with Brent sliding more than 8% bloomberg.com in one session. U.S. crude inventories posted a fifth straight weekly decline wsj.com. Gold extended its rebound bloomberg.com above $4,100 as the dollar and yields eased. Copper is in a squeeze bloomberg.com in China, with buyers chasing spot metal, and miners are outpacing smelters ft.com. Wheat rose bloomberg.com on a weaker Russian export outlook.

Corporate Earnings and Deals

Toyota's shares soared 17% ft.com after the carrier posted strong U.S. hybrid demand and lifted its annual outlook, with operating profit up 34% on a weaker yen. Emirates' first-half profit dropped 66% bloomberg.com as the Iran war and high fuel costs hit Dubai's flagship airline, while Air France-KLM expects to spend $9.2 billion wsj.com on fuel this year. Maersk raised its guidance again wsj.com on higher freight rates. CVS Health will split off its drugstore business nytimes.com in a 2028 breakup, while Wayfair, Expedia and Arm Holdings all reported stronger results. Uber's growth slowed wsj.com on fuel prices and tighter driver supply, and Datadog tumbled wsj.com after a major AI customer scaled back usage. Qualcomm's revenue fell 8% wsj.com on a handset slowdown.

Europe and Asia

The Bank of England is widely expected bloomberg.com to hike, with traders already looking to December. Rheinmetall cut its sales forecast ft.com after delays to a major armoured vehicle order. China blocked SoftBank's $5.4bn ft.com bid for ABB's robotics unit. Asian chipmakers sank bloomberg.com as a rotation into autos gathered pace, and Hong Kong stocks staged a rebound bloomberg.com. Chinese bank funding costs hit a record low bloomberg.com after a central bank policy shift. The Philippines' October inflation accelerated to 7.8% bloomberg.com, close to a four-year high. In France, unions are preparing a general strike nytimes.com as budget talks stall, and Commerzbank warned of deposit competition bloomberg.com ahead of its UniCredit deal.

Coming Up

The Bank of England's rate decision lands this week bloomberg.com, with traders focused on the path into December. A French general strike is expected nytimes.com with more than 220 demonstrations planned.


Private Equity

Last updated: November 5, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Venture Funding & Market Shifts

Startup investment is concentrating heavily: less than 2% of 2026 venture funding news.crunchbase.com has gone to companies in post-election red states, while most venture capital is flowing to firms news.crunchbase.com founded or led by billionaires. Sequoia is retreating to a smaller, Bay Area–centered structure, with the firm consolidating its operations techcrunch.com and shutting down parts of its expansion.

Large Deals & Buyouts

One Rock Capital Partners will take a majority stake in Kraft Heinz's Maxwell House coffee business peinsights.substack.com in a $650m carve-out. PAI Partners has agreed to acquire ELEMIS peinsights.substack.com from L'Occitane Group, returning the skincare brand to independent ownership. In hospitality, White Bridge Capital has invested alongside peinsights.substack.com US investor Gencom in its acquisition of Rosewood London.

Infrastructure & Fund Structures

Andreessen Horowitz and DFJ Growth co-led a $375m Series C peinsights.substack.com in satellite ground network Northwood. Clearlake Capital has launched Clearlake Private Wealth peinsights.substack.com, a platform aimed at wealth clients, anchored by a secondaries interval fund.

Startup Ecosystem

Helsing's CEO has backed AI learning startup Mindmax in a £2.5m raise sifted.eu. Commentary on engineering talent suggests a shift toward fewer people doing more work sifted.eu, while employers are asking applicants to be AI-literate without overdoing it sifted.eu.

Coming Up

Founders can join the TechCrunch Founder Summit techcrunch.com in Boston, with doors opening at 9 a.m. ET.


Sector Investment

Last updated: November 4, 2026, 10:40 PM ET

Fundraising & Deal Activity

Fundraising in infrastructure may be picking up pace infrastructureinvestor.com, with some recent fund closes taking substantially less time than the two-plus years typical of recent cycles. In healthcare, 5th Century Partners backed ION PT Network thehealthcareinvestor.com in the latest entry in the sector's private equity deal tracker.

Real Estate

Singapore's GIC plans its first perenews.com US office equity deal in two years, according to the state investor's head of Americas, who spoke at PERE's America Forum.

Energy Transition & Infrastructure Policy

Australia's Clean Energy Finance Corporation, under new chief executive Paul McCartney, will prioritise infrastructureinvestor.com wind and transport projects rather than data centres. Investors, meanwhile, remain wary of defence infrastructure infrastructureinvestor.com challenges.

UK Water Sector

A recent EIPA paper concludes that regulated returns infrastructureinvestor.com are not to blame for the UK's water troubles, shifting the debate toward other causes.