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Quantum Expert Warns of Encryption Threat by 2029

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Scott Aaronson, quantum computing expert and University of Texas professor, has been elected to the US National Academy of Sciences, joining distinguished scientists including Janet Yellen. The 44-year-old researcher, known for developing BosonSampling and PostBQP theories, expressed gratitude despite earlier reservations about joining such prestigious institutions.

Aaronson warns that fault-tolerant quantum computers capable of breaking current encryption may arrive by 2029, citing trusted sources in quantum hardware and error correction. He argues these developments will proceed regardless of cybersecurity concerns, making it preferable for US companies to develop them openly rather than foreign intelligence agencies in secret.

The newly elected NAS member urges organizations to adopt quantum-resistant encryption immediately. Drawing parallels between the quantum threat and AI security risks, he stresses the ethical imperative for American quantum companies to advance the technology rapidly while the cybersecurity community remains in denial about the cryptographic vulnerability ahead.