As November elections approach, President Trump’s escalating conflict with Iran is creating a political crisis for Republicans. With no clear resolution in sight, the war has driven up gasoline, diesel, and heating oil prices, while mortgage rates have climbed to seven percent. These economic pressures are spilling across the economy, hurting voters and complicating the party’s midterm strategy.

In a recent speech to the United Nations General Assembly, Trump warned he might “annihilate” Iran, further alarming allies and opponents alike. The split screen between Trump and his party’s battleground candidates is growing, as many Republicans who initially backed the war are now distancing themselves. The ongoing conflict has become a major liability, undermining the GOP’s messaging and threatening their chances in key races.