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NBA Rank 2026: Metrics vs Panel on Brunson, Brown

ESPN NBA •
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Dean Oliver audits ESPN's NBA Rank 2026 top 100 using advanced metrics like Net Points, DARKO, LEBRON, EPM, and RAPM. He identifies four key discrepancies between the panel rankings and the numbers. Jalen Brunson ranks No. 6 by the panel but metrics place him around No. 25, citing his size (6-foot-2, 190 pounds) and defensive limitations despite his Finals MVP performance.

Four rookies — AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Cameron Boozer, and Caleb Wilson — make the top 100, but history shows rookies rarely perform at that level immediately. Jaylen Brown sits at No. 14, yet metrics average him near No. 60; the Celtics played better without him, he turns the ball over frequently, and lacks elite vision. Collin Murray-Boyles is omitted entirely, though metrics compare his projected production to Jalen Johnson (No. 22).

Murray-Boyles averaged more assists per 48 minutes as a rookie than Johnson did in his first two seasons. Oliver emphasizes that while people see the game better, numbers see all the games.