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Strait of Hormuz Passage in Doubt

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Passage through the vital Strait of Hormuz faces renewed uncertainty following a series of attacks on commercial vessels and escalating military actions between the U.S. and Iran, jeopardizing a crucial chokepoint for global energy markets.

Three ships, including a Qatari LNG tanker and a Saudi supertanker, were attacked in early July, sustaining significant damage and leading to the safe evacuation of crews. These incidents follow earlier attacks on vessels like the Ever Lovely and Kiku. The U.S. responded with strikes on Iranian territory, including the capital Tehran, while Iran retaliated against Gulf nations. President Trump has declared the recent truce "over," raising fears of a full-scale conflict.

Before the recent hostilities, approximately 20 million barrels of oil transited the strait daily, representing one-fifth of global consumption. Since a preliminary U.S.-Iran agreement on June 17, ship traffic has remained significantly below normal levels, averaging 28 ships a day compared to a pre-war average of 100 ships daily. Iran plans to introduce transit fees after a 60-day transition period, a move the U.S. opposes, stating the strait is an international waterway.

This volatility directly impacts global energy prices and trade routes. The potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt supply chains and lead to higher costs for consumers worldwide. Approximately 6,000 seafarers remain stranded in the Gulf due to the ongoing disruptions and safety concerns.