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AirForce ICBM Program Stalled by Lack of Silos, Sentinel Missile Delays

Ars Technica •
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The US Air Force's new LGM-35A Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile is poised for its first test flight next year, marking a critical step in replacing the aging Minuteman III fleet. However, a fundamental hurdle remains: the construction of hundreds of new hardened underground silos to house these next-generation weapons is nowhere near completion. Military officials confirmed the Sentinel's readiness for flight tests but offered no timeline for the massive infrastructure project, which involves digging new silos across Colorado, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Wyoming. This delay underscores a significant gap in the program's execution, as the silos are essential for operational deployment.

Building the new silos is a colossal undertaking, described as the largest civil works project since the interstate highway system and the most complex acquisition program the Air Force has ever undertaken. The original plan to adapt existing Minuteman III silos proved unfeasible due to cost and time constraints. The program's budget has already ballooned from an initial $77.7 billion estimate to nearly $141 billion, triggering a Nunn-McCurdy breach review. While the Air Force secured funding for the program in 2024, a finalized restructuring and updated budget are expected by year's end.

Adding further complexity, the expiration of the New START treaty has opened the door for the Sentinel to potentially carry Multiple Independently targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRVs), a significant shift from the single-warhead Minuteman III. However, specific payload details remain classified. The program's scale and the critical need to maintain the Minuteman III alert while building new silos until at least 2050 highlight the immense challenges facing the Air Force's nuclear deterrent modernization effort.