Jones Knows tips Manchester United to break Bournemouth's 11-match unbeaten streak in Friday's clash, citing concerning defensive stats that suggest regression. The Cherries have allowed 9.44 expected goals over their last five matches while conceding just two actual goals - an unsustainable overperformance that United could exploit. Backing United to win with under 1.5 goals at 11/8 offers strong value.

Chelsea's attacking prowess under Liam Rosenior makes their Saturday clash with Everton a tempting over 2.5 goals bet at 4/5. Despite three straight defeats and fan unrest, Chelsea have averaged 3.8 goals per game since Rosenior took charge, with 13 of their last 17 matches producing three or more goals. Everton's reputation for low-scoring games may be keeping the line artificially low.

Newcastle's fatigue factor makes Sunday's derby against Sunderland intriguing, with the Magpies having played 24 matches since Boxing Day. While Newcastle should start strong in the derby atmosphere, their energy levels typically drop in the second half. Backing Newcastle to win the first half at 11/10 could be the smart play as they fade late.