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Why Travis Etienne Jr. Is Overrated in 2026 Free Agency

ESPN NFL •
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Travis Etienne Jr.'s 2025 season in Jacksonville, while productive, doesn't justify a top-tier contract. He rushed for 1,103 yards at 4.3 yards per carry but was negative in rushing yards over expected (-43) for the second consecutive season. Crucially, the Jaguars used him on just 6% of third-and-seven-plus plays, signaling a lack of trust in his passing-down production. His 292 receiving yards were solid but not elite, and his six receiving touchdowns didn't compensate for the team's apparent doubts about his versatility. Teams should view him as a mid-tier back, not a franchise cornerstone.

Kenneth Gainwell emerges as a stark contrast, offering significant value despite not being a flashy signing. His 63 rush yards over expected last season and 10.6 YPC on non-contact runs highlight his run-blocking prowess. Gainwell's 486 receiving yards and 82 over-expected catches demonstrate his pass-catching ability, making him a reliable every-down back at a reasonable price. This makes him a far better value proposition than players like Travis Etienne Jr., whose contract demands don't align with his inconsistent performance.

Malik Willis, conversely, is a legitimate underrated gem. Despite a tiny sample (three starts in 2024-25), his 86.3 QBR and 9.2 Y/D in Green Bay, along with a +7% completion rate over expected, scream potential. Teams desperate for a franchise QB should seriously consider him, as he offers the best free-agent QB value despite the small sample size. His development trajectory, similar to past late-round finds, makes him a high-upside, low-risk option for teams willing to invest in upside.