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NFL Week 1 Betting Analysis: Best Plays

ESPN NFL •
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Value is value, no matter where -- or how -- you find it. Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets, focusing mainly on defense. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league.

From spreads and money lines to totals and defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere. Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. With that, let's dive into our best bets, favorite defensive props and the top game to bet in Week 1.

Bowen's Game of the Week: Chicago Bears (-3, 46.5) at Carolina Panthers. Laying three points on the road in Week 1 isn't ideal, but I see the Bears as the better team. Also, last season (including the playoffs), Ben Johnson's club went 12-6-1 ATS, including 5-4 in road games. Good numbers.