Trevor Lawrence's arrow is pointing up after leading the Jaguars to 13 wins and the AFC South title. Liam Coen's offenses continue to surprise, from Kentucky to Tampa Bay where he orchestrated Baker Mayfield's career year. In 2025, Coen led Jacksonville to a 13-win season with an eight-game win streak before a playoff loss to the Bills. The Jaguars went 12-5 ATS, tied for best in the NFL.

Entering 2026, expectations are high but the betting market may ask too much. Lawrence finished 2025 playing his best football, and another year in Coen's scheme should keep the offense competitive. Weapons include Brian Thomas Jr., Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers and Travis Hunter, with Bhayshul Tuten and Chris Rodriguez Jr. in the backfield.

Concerns center on repeatability. Jacksonville went 6-3 in one-score games and finished second with 31 takeaways—areas that fluctuate yearly. They face a first-place schedule and lost defensive contributors. Eric Moody's best bet: Jaguars to make playoffs at +110, preferring a wild card path over the 8.5 win total given regression and schedule difficulty.