Dan Graziano, ESPN’s senior NFL reporter, says the first overall pick is locked in: the Las Vegas Raiders will select Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza. After that, the draft opens up. Graziano warns that rumors flood the league, but his sources give him confidence on the early moves, setting the tone for Thursday night’s selections. Mendoza, a dual-threat passer, impressed scouts with his poise under pressure.

At No. 2, Graziano’s intel points to the New York Jets taking Ohio State linebacker Arvell Reese. The team had weighed Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey, but a cancelled visit tipped the balance toward Reese, who can contribute immediately in coverage while developing as a pass rusher. His versatility adds depth to New York’s defense.

The Arizona Cardinals, sitting at No. 3, consider trading up for Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love or taking him outright despite a backfield already featuring James Conner and Tyler Allgeier. The Giants, after moving Dexter Lawrence II, hold No. 5 and likely target Love or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs. Meanwhile, the Browns appear ready to trade down from No. 6 to secure an offensive tackle.