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Top 2026 MLB Trade Deadline Candidates: Skubal Leads Market

ESPN MLB •
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The August 3 trade deadline is approaching fast, and ESPN's Kiley Mc Daniel has ranked 100 potential candidates based on trade value and rest-of-season impact. Teams are actively discussing moves as contenders evaluate how aggressively to pursue upgrades while rebuilding clubs decide which veterans to make available. The market evolves daily, with player availability shifting based on team performance and playoff positioning.

Leading the list is Tigers left-hander Tarik Skubal at 85% trade likelihood. Despite returning from bone chip surgery, Skubal has hit 99.9 mph with his fastball and remains the same pitcher who won consecutive Cy Young Awards. His arsenal includes a 95-98 mph four-seamer and elite changeup. The Tigers trail six teams for the final wild card spot, making a trade almost inevitable. Every contender wants him, with the Dodgers, Yankees, and Braves among ideal fits.

Byron Buxton carries 30% trade odds but could increase significantly if the Twins pivot to rebuild. At 32, he seeks winning opportunities while Minnesota faces another active deadline. His contract pays just over $15 million annually through 2028. Astros shortstop Jeremy Pena (35% likelihood) represents another rebuilding asset, though Houston may wait until winter to maximize value. Twins right-hander Joe Ryan (55% likelihood) ranks among baseball's elite in K-BB% this season.

Nationals shortstop CJ Abrams rounds out the top five at 15% trade likelihood despite impressive 2025 production. Evaluators question his defensive capabilities at shortstop despite his power-speed combination. Teams remain cautious about acquiring players with durability concerns, making this trade season particularly unpredictable for sellers.