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MLB Betting Tips: Friday Focus on Devers & Pitcher Props

ESPN MLB •
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Derek Carty, a contributing writer for fantasy baseball at ESPN and four‑time LABR champion, explains that all prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that uses advanced methods from MLB front offices. It accounts for player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch‑framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Friday’s top batter prop bets highlight Rafael Devers public and Cody Clemens. Devers’ over 1.5 H+R+RBI (+123) has a 56% chance of hitting with a $25.17 EV, while Clemens’ over 0.5 HR (+337) is projected at 31% chance with a $34.81 EV.

Pitcher highlights: Cade Cavalli’s under 4.5 K (+115) has a 66% chance of hitting and a $41.08 EV, followed by Michael Mc Greevy and Griffin Jax with strong ER and K projections.

Current team trends favor the New York Yankees (under 4.5, 10 straight home games), Boston Red Sox (moneyline, 9‑game streak), Texas Rangers (over 8, 7 straight), and San Francisco Giants (under 2.5, 15 of last 20).