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Duke Rises, UNC Falls in NCAA Bracketology

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Sunday's upsets shook up ESPN's latest women's Bracketology projection. Duke re-entered the field while North Carolina fell out, creating movement on the bubble. UConn remains the top overall seed, and Clemson sits as the last team in. Fairfield continues as the first team out, waiting for its chance.

Despite a narrow loss to LSU, Texas holds firm as the No. 2 overall seed. The Longhorns boast five Quadrant 1 wins and victories over two other projected No. 1 seeds, a unique résumé builder. That quality keeps them ahead of the pack, even with a stumble on the road.

The four projected No. 1 seeds—UConn, Texas, South Carolina, and UCLA—all possess a comfortable cushion in the rankings. Sunday's results didn't threaten their positioning, though the race for the top line remains tight. The committee values high-end wins, and these teams have them.

Looking ahead, the bubble battle intensifies as we approach the season's second half. Clemson and others must secure quality wins to stay in contention. The next updates arrive Tuesday and Friday, tracking every upset and shifting seed line until Selection Sunday.