Pamela Maldonado and Mark Zinno share their Week 5 college football best bets, focusing on value beyond the usual top teams. They emphasize looking at smaller games where fewer bettors are watching. Their analysis centers on pace and efficiency to find promising under bets.
Best bet No. 1: Michigan at Minnesota first half UNDER 21.5 and full game UNDER 43.5. Minnesota's scoring output outpaces its true offensive abilities, ranking 85th in EPA per play. Michigan's defense is top 10 against the run, and its run-heavy offense keeps the clock moving. Both teams start extremely slow and rank in the bottom 10 in pace, making unders attractive.
Best bet No. 2: Temple (+6.5) at South Florida. While scores favor South Florida, box scores favor Temple. Temple outgained common opponent Army but lost due to execution. USF's 4-0 record came against a softer schedule. Temple's offense averages 5.7 yards per carry and hits explosive passes with WR Colin Chase.
Fresno State at Washington State: UNDER 45.5. Washington State's offense is ranked in the bottom five in success rate, converting only 25% on third down. QB Caden Pinnick has more interceptions than touchdowns, and kicker Jack Stevens is 2-for-7 on field goals. Fresno's offense is one-dimensional with low rushing production.
Source: ESPN General · Summarized by HeadlinesBriefing