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Public Markets 8-Hour Briefing

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Market Moves

Nevada AG Ford discussed the Supreme Court’s 6–3 ruling striking down Trump-era tariffs, signaling potential shifts in trade policy. FedEx sued the U.S. government for a full refund on tariffs, while EY-Parthenon’s Daco highlighted inflation and investment uncertainties as key risks. Jane Street faces insider trading allegations tied to Terraform Labs, raising concerns about market integrity.

Macro & Policy

Rick Woldenberg, CEO of Learning Resources, noted the SCOTUS decision as a win for companies challenging tariffs. Trump’s tariff options include alternative legislation, as the administration seeks to rebuild trade barriers. Asian markets face AI-driven volatility, with Treasury and gold rallies reflecting risk-off sentiment. Citi plans to sell another stake in Banamex, signaling continued divestment from Mexico’s banking sector.

Corporate Developments

Paramount Skydance raised its offer for Warner Bros Discovery, intensifying the Hollywood bidding war. Uber acquired Spot Hero to expand its parking services, while KKR-backed Global Medical Response prepares for a U.S. IPO. Binance faced scrutiny after firing staff who flagged suspicious transactions, underscoring regulatory risks in crypto.

Economic Shifts

Ecuador considers a $4B bond sale amid fiscal challenges, and APotex aims for a C$1B IPO. Hims & Hers Health reported Q4 sales growth but issued cautious first-quarter guidance. SQM-Codelco exceeded lithium output forecasts, highlighting recovery from a global glut.

Geopolitical Risks

Mexico details the arrest of a top cartel leader, while U.S. forces launched a lethal strike on a narco-terror vessel. China accelerates military fusion research, aiming to dominate nuclear technology. Lebanon banks face liquidity crises, risking insolvency without urgent reforms.

Tech & Innovation

Nvidia prepares for Q4 earnings, and Anthropic accuses Chinese AI labs of data theft. IBM stocks dropped after Anthropic’s COBOL AI tool launch, signaling sector volatility. SpaceX and Blue Origin compete in the space economy, with ETFs like the GENIUS ETF gaining traction.

Regulatory & Legal

Moody’s alerts highlight data center accounting gaps, while Thames Water seeks creditor approval for a rescue plan. Eversource raised $1.5B via hybrid bonds to refinance debt. DUSA ETF surpasses $1B in assets, tapping prediction markets.

Final Notes

U.S. mortgage rates dip below 6%, and European private lenders face selloffs amid investor fears. Trump’s stablecoin proposal for Gaza and Congo’s copper leadership reflect broader geopolitical and economic shifts. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs raised oil price targets, signaling optimism about energy demand.