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Dual‑track exits rise as deal volume stalls, says Alvarez & Marsal

PE Hub •
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Alvarez & Marsal’s managing director Paul Aversano told PE Hub that clients are increasingly demanding dual‑track exit strategies, allowing them to gauge private‑equity bids while testing public‑market valuations. The firm sees heightened IPO readiness across Europe, especially among mid‑size companies seeking liquidity amid tighter credit conditions. These owners hope to maximize price discovery and preserve negotiating leverage in the current market.

Bain & Co.’s mid‑year private‑equity report shows dealmaking volume has slumped sharply, with total commitments falling by roughly a third versus the first half of 2023. The slowdown reflects lingering uncertainty over inflation, regulatory scrutiny and the after‑effects of aggressive rate hikes. Investors are reallocating capital toward lower‑risk assets and holding cash for later opportunities as they await clearer guidance from policymakers.

The twin trends—dual‑track processes gaining favor and a contraction in M&A activity—signal a market in transition. Companies that can demonstrate IPO readiness may attract higher bids, while those lacking public‑market appeal could face reduced valuations. Firms like Alvarez & Marsal are positioning themselves as advisors for both routes, capitalizing on the shifting exit landscape to capture fee income and maintain relevance.