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European LatAm Stock Investment Hits 15-Year High

Financial Times Markets •
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European investors have poured a net $3.6bn into Latin American equity funds this year, the highest annual inflow since 2010, reversing $15.1bn in net outflows over the prior 15 years. Assets in European-domiciled LatAm funds have surged to $21.6bn, 2.5 times the $8.8bn held at the start of 2025. The rally is driven by record copper prices and oil above $100 a barrel amid the US-Iran conflict, positioning the region as a "safe haven." Eduardo Figueiredo of Aberdeen Investments noted inflows reversed after the Middle East war began on February 28.

Morningstar analyst Madeleine Black highlighted Petrobras and Grupo México as chief beneficiaries, accounting for 40% of the region's year-to-date return. The MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America index has risen 33.4% over 12 months, outperforming the MSCI World (18.9%) and S&P 500 (18.2%), though trailing EM Asia's 41.8% gain driven by chipmakers TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and SK Hynix. Mike Simpson of Barings said LatAm offers diversification from AI-driven concentration.

Political shifts in Chile, Peru, Colombia, and Mexico under President Claudia Sheinbaum are viewed positively, while Brazil's October election pits incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva against market-friendly Flávio Bolsonaro. Valuations remain attractive at 12.5x earnings versus 30.3x for the S&P 500. Risks include rising bond yields, adverse election outcomes, and USMCA trade review uncertainty.