HeadlinesBriefing favicon HeadlinesBriefing.com

Goldman Warns AI Disruption Could Hammer Software Stocks

Yahoo Finance •
×

Goldman Sachs has issued a stark warning to investors in software stocks, comparing the current AI-driven disruption to the internet's devastating impact on newspapers in the early 2000s. The firm's strategist Ben Snider noted that newspaper stocks declined by an average of 95% between 2002 and 2009 as earnings outlooks deteriorated, suggesting software companies face a similar multi-year decline as AI advances threaten their business models.

Software stocks are now underperforming the Nasdaq Composite by the largest margin this century, with major names like Oracle down 27% and Salesforce experiencing significant losses. The rout intensified after Anthropic's recent debut of Claude Cowork plug-ins capable of automating tasks across legal, sales, marketing, and data analysis functions. This technological leap has investors questioning the terminal value of established software giants including Salesforce, Workday, SAP, and ServiceNow.

While Evercore analyst Kirk Materne notes that software typically outperforms the S&P once it finds a bottom, the current uncertainty around AI's long-term impact makes timing nearly impossible. With each new AI release amplifying bearish sentiment, investors face a challenging environment where near-term earnings results may signal business resilience but prove insufficient to disprove long-term downside risk. The sector appears trapped in a narrative where technological disruption outpaces adaptation.