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Chicken Glut Lowers Grocery Bills, Pressures Meatpackers

Wall Street Journal US Business •
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A poultry surplus is impacting meatpackers and lowering consumer costs. Larger flock sizes, breed changes, and steady beef demand have led to overproduction. Companies like Tyson Foods, Pilgrim’s Pride, and Wayne-Sanderson Farms are increasing output of chicken products such as breasts, wings, and thighs. This glut, driven by four-point-five percent supply growth in Q2 and high annual slaughter rates (over nine billion birds), is depressing wholesale prices. Consumers benefit from cheaper chicken options as restaurants and shoppers reduce protein costs. Beef demand remains steady, but poultry overcapacity creates downward pressure on margins.

The surplus contrasts with expectations of heightened chicken demand. Suppliers adjusted strategies to capitalize on anticipated shifts toward affordable chicken sandwiches and tenders. However, sustained production outpaces consumption, exacerbating price declines. Pilgrim’s Pride, the second-largest U.S. processor, reported the supply increase.

Industry experts note the glut could persist if flock sizes and disease resistance remain stable. While lower prices aid inflation mitigation, meatpackers face squeezed profits. The situation highlights the volatility of poultry markets, where biological and economic factors intersect.

Retailers and food service providers may leverage cheaper chicken to offset beef costs. However, long-term outcomes depend on market adaptability and supply chain adjustments.