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BMW cuts guidance amid China slowdown, rattles European shares

Wall Street Journal US Business •
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BMW stunned European investors after trimming its full‑year outlook, sending stocks down on Wednesday. The German maker blamed a sharper slowdown in China and the spillover from the Middle East conflict. Lower sales in Asia offset gains in Europe and the U.S., tightening the company’s earnings prospects.

BMW cut its automotive EBIT margin forecast to 1%-3% from 4%-6%, and the return on capital employed in the automotive unit to 1%-5% from 6%-10%. Group profit before tax now faces a sharp decline, reversing an earlier modest dip. The cuts underscore mounting pressure from rising energy costs and consumer sentiment across global markets today.

The downturn in China intensified competition, eroding margins as rivals slash prices. Meanwhile, the Gaza‑Israel flare‑up pushed energy prices higher, boosting BMW’s operating costs. The company’s adjusted guidance signals a broader slowdown in the auto sector, prompting investors to reassess risk premiums on German and Asian automakers for longer term investments.

European auto shares fell sharply, dragging the broader index lower. Analysts now weigh the impact of higher oil prices and geopolitical tension on earnings across the industry. With BMW’s revised targets, other German rivals may face similar revisions, tightening the market’s valuation and forcing capital allocation decisions across the sector for mid‑term investors today.