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Regional Banks Find New Edge Amid AI Boom

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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Rising yields can make for a tough lending environment, but regional banks are evolving into something more like their Wall Street peers. Investors worried about a squeeze between depositors demanding higher rates and borrowers shifting to lower‑yielding loans, especially after the 2-year Treasury notes hit a one‑year high. Clients are tempted to pull cash out, a concern that hits regional lenders hard because they lack the massive trading desks that can profit from market volatility. Last week, shares of Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase rose, while most of the KBW Nasdaq Bank Index’s large regional banks fell, signaling a shift in sentiment. Yet the Wall Street versus Main Street divide is blurring, and regional banks could surprise investors. Even as net interest margins tighten, they are benefiting from forces that lift megabanks, notably the scramble to adapt to the artificial‑intelligence boom. The market may be underestimating Main Street lenders’ capacity to keep pace with their glitzier peers.

Regulators and investors are watching how these institutions balance deposit growth with risk. The shift toward AI‑driven services could unlock new revenue streams, offsetting margin compression. If regional banks successfully leverage technology, they may attract deposits that previously flowed to larger banks.