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Canada producer prices jump 13.6% in May

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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Canada’s producer‑price index climbed 1.2% in May, marking a fifth consecutive monthly gain. Statistics Canada said the rise reflects heightened crude costs linked to the Iran‑Israel conflict and shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Year‑over‑year, the index jumped 13.6%, the steepest increase since mid‑2022, underscoring persistent pressure on domestic manufacturers.

Stripping out energy and petroleum products, the core index rose 0.9% month‑over‑month, pushing the annual core inflation rate to 9.3%. Prices for chemicals surged 7%, driven by plastic resins and petrochemicals, while energy and petroleum items rose 2.5% after March’s 26.9% spike. Primary non‑ferrous metals increased 1.1%, with aluminum and copper posting consecutive gains.

The broad‑based uptick threatens to seep into consumer prices, raising concerns for the Bank of Canada as core inflation shows little sign of broadening. Commodity‑heavy exporters may benefit from higher prices, but manufacturers face tighter margins. Investors should monitor the index as a leading gauge of inflationary pressure on the Canadian economy.

Analysts note that sustained producer‑price growth could push the upcoming consumer‑price index higher, prompting the central bank to consider tighter monetary stance. Sectors reliant on chemicals and metals, such as construction and automotive, may see cost pass‑through to buyers. Meanwhile, energy‑intensive industries could experience margin compression unless oil prices stabilize.