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Asian Markets Rally on Iran Deal While AI Reshapes Nordic Banking

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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UBS analysts see artificial intelligence delivering meaningful efficiency gains for Nordic banks, though the payoff won't arrive quickly. Their framework suggests 15% to 18% gross efficiency potential, netting out to roughly 8%-10% after reinvestment costs, which could lift returns on equity by about 100 basis points. Despite the long-term promise, Nordea and Danske Bank appear best positioned to capture benefits, while Handelsbanken's operating model may limit its AI advantage.

Indonesia's Jakarta Composite jumped 4.1% to 6254.97 as easing Middle East tensions boosted risk appetite. Bank Central Asia climbed 5.9% and Bank Rakyat Indonesia rose 4.9%, though gains may stall ahead of Bank Indonesia's policy meeting. Malaysia's inflation likely accelerated to 2.1% in May from 1.9% in April, supported by energy prices despite subsidy buffers keeping broader pressures contained.

South Korean equities are gaining momentum from memory sector earnings and stimulus measures. Citi forecasts Kospi companies could post 231% profit growth in 2026, prompting a target increase to 10000 from 8500. Japanese officials may intervene if dollar-yen breaches 162, with 165 potentially the real trigger point as the pair trades around 160.

These divergent regional trends reflect how geopolitical developments and technological shifts create uneven opportunities across Asia's financial markets, with some sectors positioned for immediate gains while others require patience.