Virginia voters will decide Tuesday whether to adopt a Democratic‑backed congressional map in a Virginia referendum that has drawn more than $75 million in spending. House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries bankrolls the “Yes” campaign, while Speaker Mike Johnson backs the “No” side. The race has attracted national attention, with former President Trump warning of a disaster if Democrats seize control in a closely watched battle over gerrymandering.

If approved, the new plan would create eight safe Democratic districts, two Democratic‑leaning contests and only one secure Republican seat, effectively adding four seats to the party’s Virginia delegation. Nationwide, Republicans currently hold a two‑ to three‑seat edge in the redistricting balance; Virginia’s shift could bring the tally to a near tie ahead of the 2026 midterms in the South.

Early voting already tops 1.34 million, rivaling the turnout for last November’s gubernatorial race. A comfortable “Yes” win would reinforce Democratic momentum as President Trump’s approval slips, while a narrow result or defeat could embolden Republicans heading into contested swing districts. The referendum’s margin will therefore serve as a concrete barometer of party enthusiasm in a tightly divided House for the 2026 congressional map.