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Yen Intervention Fuels Stock Market Rally

New York Times Business •
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The U.S. Treasury Department's recent intervention in the Japanese yen aimed to stabilize a critical global currency and support an ally, but it also served to calm anxious investors and fuel the S&P 500's record rally. Analysts suggest this move is part of a larger, interconnected market picture.

A significant factor driving the rally is the immense spending by big tech companies on artificial intelligence infrastructure, which has led to a surge in debt issuance and higher interest rates on corporate bonds. This increased borrowing cost unnerves stock investors concerned about future profits.

The yen's decline had begun pressuring U.S. Treasury yields, as Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt. A potential sell-off of Treasuries by Japan to support its currency could have raised U.S. interest rates further. The Treasury's intervention helped stabilize U.S. debt markets, easing fears about rising borrowing costs and their potential spillover into the stock market. Giants like Amazon and Palantir also contributed with strong earnings.

However, risks remain. A yen strengthening too much could pull investors from U.S. assets. Policymakers aim for a delicate balance, wanting "just enough" support for the yen to manage the global macro dilemma.