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US Inflation Hits 4.2% Amid Iran War Energy Spikes

New York Times Business •
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U.S. inflation surged to a 4.2% year‑over‑year rise in May, the steepest pace since April 2023, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest CPI data. Energy prices climbed 3.9% over the month, pushing overall consumer costs higher amid a stalled peace effort in the Middle East and global supply chains in the wake of.

Core inflation, stripped of volatile food and energy, ticked up 2.9% yearly and 0.2% monthly—slightly softer than analysts expected. The uptick reflects spill‑over from higher gasoline and airline fares, which rose 2.7% in May, while hotel rates edged up 0.5%, a hint of World Cup‑related demand.

Investors watch the Fed’s next meeting, where the central bank will weigh whether persistent core prices warrant rate hikes. Even with a strong labor market adding 172,000 jobs, wage growth lags inflation, tightening households’ purchasing power and pressuring corporate profit margins.

Energy costs also feed into technology and food segments, as data‑center demand lifts memory‑chip prices and drought strains beef supply. The combination of geopolitical tension and supply shocks keeps price pressures high, forcing firms to balance cost control with competitive pricing.