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WallStreet Shifts from AI Tech to Traditional Value: The Moat Erosion Threat

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Quality stocks underperformed Value by over 5% in February, marking the worst gap in five years. Investors are fleeing high-priced tech companies fearing AI will erase their competitive advantages, like wide moats protecting Microsoft and similar firms. Coca-Cola and utilities are seeing a resurgence as investors seek assets less vulnerable to AI disruption.

Physical infrastructure plays is now a defensive staple. Manufacturers of pipelines, grids, and semiconductors (the HALO trade) are attracting capital as traditional software and service models face obsolescence. The shift is also evident in ETF flows, with $7 billion pouring into funds prioritizing immediate cash returns and buybacks.

This strategy pivot signals a profound change in how Wall Street views future growth versus current stability, favoring tangible assets over digital innovation. IBM appears positioned as a potential bargain amid this reassessment of value and AI risk.