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U.K. GDP grows 0.3% in November, signaling fragile recovery

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U.K. GDP slipped into growth in November, rising 0.3% month‑on‑month after a 0.1% decline in October. The U.K. economy posted a 1.4% annual gain, up from 1.1% in September. Jaguar Land Rover factories resumed production, easing the lingering impact of last year’s cyber attack and helped boost consumer confidence overall.

Despite the uptick, analysts warn that growth remains fragile. Michael Brown of Pepperstone notes a persistent downside risk, citing the government's fiscal tightening and the looming Bank of England rate cuts. Rachel Reeves recently announced a £4.3 billion fund to cushion hospitality from rising rates as inflation slows and policy shifts.

Looking ahead, the Bank of England plans to lower rates further this year, aiming to bring inflation back to its 2% target by mid‑2026. Market watchers will monitor how the U.K. balances fiscal stimulus with debt control, and whether the recovery can sustain momentum beyond November for the next quarter.