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Morgan Stanley names BlackLine top software pick

Investing.com •
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Morgan Stanley has named BlackLine its top software pick, citing accelerating growth, an attractive valuation, and limited downside risk amid a broadly weak software sector. The research note highlights the company’s ARR momentum and a clear path to higher earnings for investors and analysts today.

BlackLine’s ARR is poised for an inflection point, with only an additional $10 million of new contracts needed to lift growth to 9% versus $15 million in Q4 24. Management projects 9% total revenue growth FY26 and double‑digit uplift from a new pricing model for customers and shareholders.

Valuation supports the call: the stock trades at a 13x CY27 free‑cash‑flow multiple, and Morgan Stanley reiterates an OW rating and top‑pick status. The note stresses limited downside risk and a clear earnings trajectory that should appeal to value‑seeking investors in the current market environment.

Investors should watch Q4 results for pricing‑model adoption and new contract volume. A strong close could validate Morgan Stanley’s thesis and lift the stock, while broader software weakness may keep volatility high. Analysts will track ARR growth and FY26 guidance for further upside in 2026.