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JPMorgan: Bitcoin Now More Attractive Than Gold

Investing.com •
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According to JPMorgan, Bitcoin is now more appealing than gold for long-term investors. Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, a quantitative strategist at the bank, cited Bitcoin's outperformance since October and rising gold volatility as key factors. This shift comes amid a broader risk-asset weakness and a correction in alternative hedges, impacting market sentiment.

Crypto markets have faced headwinds, including a recent hack on Solana's Step Finance. Despite a selloff, JPMorgan noted that position liquidations have been relatively modest. Spot ETFs continue to suffer outflows, suggesting negative sentiment across both institutional and retail investors. This signals a potential shift in investor confidence within the crypto space.

Panigirtzoglou also pointed to the contraction in stablecoins as a natural response to the overall crypto market cap shrinking. JPMorgan believes the recent pullback has pushed Bitcoin below its estimated production cost of $87,000, which has historically acted as a price floor. The bank's central thesis is that Bitcoin's long-term risk-adjusted potential relative to gold has improved.

Currently, the Bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio has hit a record low of 1.5. On a volatility-adjusted basis, Bitcoin's market cap would need to reach $266,000 to match private sector investment in gold. This analysis suggests a potential for significant gains if Bitcoin can maintain its current trajectory and investor interest continues to grow.