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Fresnillo Cuts Production Outlook After Q4 Miss

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Fresnillo, a major precious metals miner, has lowered its 2026 production targets for both silver and gold. The company cited operational challenges and lower ore grades at key mines. This revision follows a fourth-quarter output that fell short of analyst expectations. Investors are likely watching closely, as production misses can impact profitability and stock performance.

The London-listed miner now anticipates 42-46.5 million ounces of silver in 2026, down from the previous 45-51 million ounces. Gold guidance was also cut to 500-550 thousand ounces. Production shortfalls were due to mine plan changes at the Ciénega and Saucito mines, along with reduced ore grades at Herradura.

Fourth-quarter silver production reached 12.16 million ounces, missing estimates. Gold output also underperformed. Morgan Stanley analysts suggest the company faces potential downside risk to consensus volume estimates. This underscores the challenges faced by mining companies in managing production.

Despite the cuts, Fresnillo maintained its 2027 guidance. The company expects a recovery in silver and gold production, driven by access to higher-grade areas. Investors should monitor the company's progress in accessing these areas, as well as the impact on the stock price, given the production cuts.