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Fed's Goolsbee Flags Mixed Signals in Inflation Data

Investing.com •
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Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee offered a mixed assessment of January's CPI data, highlighting both progress and persistent challenges in the inflation battle. The 2.4% year-over-year increase represents the lowest reading since May 2025, yet services inflation remains elevated and "worrisome," according to Goolsbee.

Goolsbee expressed uncertainty about whether the economy is on track to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation target, noting price increases appear "stuck around 3%." While acknowledging that interest rates "can still go down," he emphasized the need for further progress on inflation before policy easing, and admitted uncertainty about the current level of restrictiveness in Fed policy.

The Chicago Fed president characterized labor market conditions as "steady" with "modest cooling," while identifying consumers as "the strongest thing in the U.S. economy." Goolsbee predicted consumer strength would persist if the job market remains stable and inflation eases.