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US Weighing Currency Swap Lines for Gulf Allies

Financial Times Markets •
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed the administration is considering currency swap lines for the UAE and other Gulf allies as their economies suffer from Iran's retaliatory strikes following Trump's military actions. The UAE ambassador emphasized his country's $2 trillion in sovereign investment assets and denied any liquidity issues, though described the potential swap as a "contingency measure" to signal economic trustworthiness.

Saudi Arabia declined to request a swap line, citing "comfortable external buffers" despite facing similar economic pressures. The Trump administration previously approved a $20 billion swap for Argentina, establishing a pattern of using these tools to prop up allied economies during crises. The Gulf states maintain dollar pegs, making them particularly vulnerable to currency fluctuations.

Iran's disruption of oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz has severely impacted regional finances, with the IMF forecasting Qatar's economy could contract by up to 8.6% this year. While Saudi Arabia and UAE growth will slow to approximately 3%, the longer the strait remains closed, the greater the financial pressure on these oil-exporting nations. The Fed's existing swap lines don't address exchange rate movements, highlighting the unique nature of this potential arrangement.