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UK gilts sink as political risk drives investors abroad

Financial Times Markets •
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Britain’s bond market has long mirrored the fortunes of its governing parties. Labour’s 1970s debt crisis, Black Wednesday in 1992, the 2008 bailouts and Mr Kwarteng’s mini‑budget each dented investor confidence. Today, gilts slump as markets punish perceived fiscal irresponsibility, mirroring the rise in energy costs since the Iran war. Investors demand higher yields to offset the risk of unchecked spending.

Funding the £250bn of gilts slated for this year would push the £2.9tn debt pile into a tighter yield curve. If international investors shift elsewhere, sterling could weaken, raising import costs and inflation while denting UK equities. The cost of servicing debt is therefore a key lever for policymakers and market participants alike and reflect the broader fiscal environment today.

Active managers argue that broad global index funds expose investors to fragile tech and semiconductor valuations that have spiked during the AI boom. Switching to actively managed funds or individual stocks with steadier cash flows—such as Thermo Fisher or Netflix—could offer better downside protection. Rising interest rates from 0.25% to 3.75% have already cut equity valuations by roughly a third.

With political risk tightening, investors may prefer to move capital out of UK gilts and into assets that deliver solid fundamentals. Goshawk Asset Management’s approach underscores the value of selective exposure to companies that can sustain revenue through cyclical shifts. This strategy offers a concrete hedge against the volatility that accompanies fiscal policy swings in the UK for investors today.