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Junk borrowers face $2tn refinancing crunch

Financial Times Markets •
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U.S. companies are confronting a massive refinancing wave as nearly $2tn of speculative‑grade debt and loans mature over the next five years, with $438bn due by the end of 2028. The surge in near‑term obligations—up 31% year‑on‑year—has been amplified by a “pull‑forward effect,” forcing firms to refinance multiple tranches at once. Rising inflation has lifted borrowing costs, pushing the effective yield on junk debt to 8.1% from 6.5% a year ago, while a glut of tech issuance makes investors pickier. Planview, for example, must address over $1.5bn of debt due next year after a 2020 buyout, and S&P Global Ratings recently downgraded it deeper into junk territory. Even investment‑grade corporates face a $1.6tn wave of maturities by 2031, as longer‑term loans roll into a higher‑rate environment. Companies have limited options: extending existing terms, turning to private credit with higher principal, or risking equity market backlash. The stakes are high, with the cost of a misstep potentially severe.

Roula Khalaf highlights the urgency: finance departments are scrambling to secure funding well before deadlines, as the combination of high rates and abundant supply squeezes the most risky borrowers.

Source: Financial Times Markets · Summarized by HeadlinesBriefing