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India Manufacturing Exodus Fueled by Energy Costs

Financial Times Markets •
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Middle East conflict has triggered cooking gas prices to quadruple overnight, forcing Indian factory workers to abandon urban jobs and return to villages. Workers earning Rs20,000 monthly can no longer afford city living as expenses outpace wages. Labor rights activists estimate hundreds of thousands have departed industrial hubs like Noida, where even minimum wage earners struggle to survive.

Uttar Pradesh responded with a 21% minimum wage increase to appease protesting workers, but businesses warn this renders operating costs unsustainable. The Confederation of Indian Industry warns that higher wages may prompt companies to relocate to more cost-competitive states, threatening India's manufacturing ambitions amid rising raw material costs.

This crisis exposes India's challenge in becoming a manufacturing powerhouse rival to China. With thin profit margins of 10% or less, factory owners face impossible choices: increase wages and lose competitiveness, or maintain current pay and lose workers. For India's migrant laborers, the economic reality remains stark - many cannot afford basic necessities in cities they helped build.