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Euro Challenges Dollar: Europe's Ambitions and Gold's Rise

Financial Times Markets •
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European Central Bank (ECB) officials push for euro dominance amid US dollar uncertainty. Christine Lagarde and Philip Lane highlight reforms making the euro “ready for prime time,” but political will remains the critical gap. Gold, now nearly a third of central bank reserves, surges as investors hedge against dollar volatility, with Deutsche Bank analysts predicting $8,000 an ounce within five years. Europe’s fragmentation and US geopolitical missteps—like Trump’s tariffs and Biden’s Nato tensions—accelerate the shift. Emerging markets, burned by Russia’s frozen reserves, flock to gold’s stateless appeal.

Yet joint European sovereign bonds could revive the euro’s credibility if issued at scale, though clunky trading and small-scale tests hinder progress. The dollar’s dominance faces existential pressure, but Europe risks missing this pivotal moment.