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Trump's NATO Threat & EU Fraud Scandal Shake Global Markets

Financial Times Companies •
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Donald Trump reignites NATO tensions by threatening withdrawal, citing allies' refusal to join U.S. naval efforts in the Strait of Hormuz. The move risks undermining the alliance's Article Five mutual defense clause, which relies on U.S. military backing. Trump, a longtime NATO skeptic, previously threatened withdrawal in 2018 and 2025 over defense spending shortfalls but reversed course after allies complied. His latest ire focuses on operational cooperation, not funding, straining ties with European partners like Spain and Italy, whose bases he barred from supporting Iran strikes.

A €2.4 billion EU agricultural fraud probe in Greece has suspended farm subsidies and implicated 11 lawmakers, including two current ministers. The European Public Prosecutor’s Office alleges an organized scheme involving breaches of trust and false declarations dating to 2021. With payments halted and parliamentary inquiries stalled, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s government faces mounting political pressure amid broader economic fragility.

The dual crises highlight growing global instability: Trump’s rhetoric emboldens adversaries while NATO allies scramble to reassure partners. Greece’s scandal, meanwhile, underscores corruption risks in EU funding systems, potentially triggering austerity measures or legislative overhauls. Analysts warn both events could ripple through markets, affecting defense contracts and European fiscal policies.

U.S. withdrawal from NATO and EU corruption scandals now dominate headlines, with investors monitoring geopolitical fallout. The Strait of Hormuz tensions and Greek subsidy freeze exemplify how leadership volatility and institutional decay threaten international cooperation.