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Private Credit's Circular Risk Trade Sparks Banking Dilemma

Financial Times Companies •
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Japanese megabank Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group is pitching a $200 million risk-transfer product that would shield the bank from losses on roughly $2 billion in credit lines extended to private credit funds. The synthetic risk transfer, or SRT, allows MUFG to achieve capital relief while freeing up capacity for new lending and dividend payouts.

The arrangement reflects growing pressure on bank executives to demonstrate reduced private credit exposure ahead of earnings calls. However, the circular nature of these transactions raises concerns, as the most likely buyers are private credit giants themselves—Blackstone, Apollo and Ares—that banks have approached. This creates interconnected risk where any adverse loss could hit these firms multiple ways.

Blackstone faced similar criticism in 2024 for purchasing SRTs backed by short-term loans used by private equity funds, essentially providing protection on their own exposure. The practice highlights deepening ties between banking systems and private capital giants, raising questions about systemic risk concentration in an already leveraged market segment.