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Global Trade Jostles as Iran Attack Spurs Shipping Shifts

Financial Times Companies •
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The Iran attack has rattled the global trading system, forcing shipping firms, freight forwarders, airlines and exporters to scramble. Routes are being reshuffled, transshipments shifted, and cargo rerouted by sea, land or air. Exporters from Indian rice growers to Brazilian meat firms feel the hit, while Ikea reports emergency work in the Gulf.

War‑risk insurance premiums and demurrage charges have surged, forcing companies to absorb higher costs. The Chinese government has summoned MSC and Maersk to curb freight rate hikes, while exporters debate who bears the burden. The scramble has highlighted the fragility of supply chains but also the speed at which they can adapt.

Experts say a $100/barrel rise in oil would add only $100‑$200 to a 40‑foot container’s freight on major routes, where rates sit at $2,000‑$3,000. With an average container carrying $100,000 of goods, the impact remains modest. Flexibility gained from recent disruptions has kept costs from spiraling.

The crisis has accelerated investment in renewables, with Pakistan leading the way in rooftop solar adoption to offset higher LNG bills. While Chinese wind turbines offer cost advantages, security concerns loom. Still, the shipping sector’s rapid adaptation and government intervention suggest the global trade network can weather future shocks.