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AES $33B Buyout: Private Equity Deal Leaves Bondholders Exposed

Financial Times Companies •
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AES Corporation's shareholders are reeling after the power and utility company agreed to a $33 billion private equity buyout at a steep discount to market expectations. Shares plunged nearly 20% on Monday following the announcement, which comes after months of speculation that drove the stock up 56% since July. The deal, led by BlackRock's GIP and EQT Partners, values AES at a 36% premium to July prices but falls well short of what bullish investors had hoped for.

In a twist that has bondholders watching closely, the buyers plan to leave much of AES's existing debt outstanding rather than refinancing at par. This self-leveraging structure means the private equity firms need only $11 billion in equity, with commitments from Calpers and Qatar Investment Authority. CreditSights analysis suggests change-of-control provisions won't trigger unless rating agencies downgrade AES to junk status, allowing the new owners to maintain leverage without immediate debt repayment.

The deal reflects AES's struggles in the current energy landscape. The company has faced pressure from declining renewable subsidies under the Trump administration and volatility in its heavily indebted shares, which fell two-thirds between late 2022 and early 2025. While the buyers argue AES needed to cut its dividend to fund investments, the transaction highlights how private equity is reshaping infrastructure ownership amid growing tensions between corporate data center demands and residential electricity rates.